Fed is stuck, but so are vols It’s Jackson Hole this week – usually a time when we hear policy signals and though unlikely this time, and considering how the market is priced, fading the extremes is probably not a bad strategy this week on both ends of the USD
Vol trended lower through the Summer months but can it stay low amid uncertainties persisting around foreign policies and inflation?
I lay the groundwork for why there is significant asymmetric risk to the upside for USD this week. I also outline my preferred trading strategy should that view fail to materialise.
Systematic Hedge funds showing vulnerabilities through equities and US dollar
Was it really that bad? A lot of data to unpack and definitely worth reviewing and to strategise around
The stormy week came and went; strong earnings and persistent low volatility has and continues to be in focus.
Seasonals are strong, but will it play out?
Heavy storm clouds forecasted next week.
Inflation lags finally kicking in? Big for USD if true.
Trading Strategy
Implied moves and our Tradingview "Risk Ranges" indicators for FX and SPX explained.
Focusing on US equities & US CPI. CPI Good or bad?
The TICO trade